NEW DELHI (Reuters) - Indian state-run retailers may cut petrol prices from Nov. 16,
an industry source said, the first cut in nearly three years and the first in the 18
months since the government ended controls.
The cut could be for at least 0.60 rupees a litre, or about 1 percent, the source said
on Friday.
Softening Singapore prices have partially offset the impact of a declining rupee to
offer a small window of opportunity for a cut. Price increases have been unrelenting
hikes since the government freed sales in June 2010, sparking political and public
outcry.
"If the rupee continues at current levels and if Singapore FOB (free on board)
gasoline spot prices continue to average $115.80 a barrel, oil companies may reduce
basic prices by at least 60 paise a litre," the source, who requested anonymity, told
Reuters.
Last week state-run Indian oil retailers raised gasoline prices by 1.50 rupees a litre,
which rose to 1.80 rupees a litre after adding local taxes in Delhi. It was the fourth
increase in gasoline prices this year and came as inflation continues near double
digits.
Petrol prices have not been cut since January 2009. Until June 2010 they were fixed
by the government, which still controls other fuel costs.
Petrol is nowhere near as widely used as diesel in India -- accounting for around 10
percent of fuel demand compared with about 40 percent for diesel -- but it is high-
profile because it powers many of the cars owned by the growing and vociferous
middle class.
In addition, many Indians use petrol-driven scooters for commuting, and families of
four all on a bike are a common sight.
The widening price gap between the two fuels has softened growth of petrol
consumption, which has recently slowed behind that of diesel.
Petrol currently retails for around 68.6 rupees ($1.37) per litre, nearly 68 percent
higher than diesel.
Last week's price rise was based on assumptions of Asian gasoline prices of about
$121 a barrel and an exchange rate of 49.20 rupees to the dollar.
Spot Singapore gasoline prices are currently averaging $115.80 a barrel, according to
Reuters data, while the rupee averaged about 49.30 to the dollar in the fortnight to
Friday.
Indian fuel retailers usually meet once a fortnight to consider petrol prices but prefer
to wait for a considerable change before passing it on to the retail level.
Their profitability has been hurt as the government held back on raising prices of
subsidised fuels -- gasoil, kerosene, and cooking gas -- since June despite rising
global crude oil prices.
The oil firms are likely to suffer a revenue loss of 1.32 trillion rupees on their sales of
subsidised fuels in the current fiscal year ending March 31, 2012.
The finance ministry on Friday agreed to give a cash compensation of 150 billion
rupees to state fuel retailers to partially compensate them for losses on sale of
subsidised fuels in July-September, two finance ministry sources said.